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Preview: UFC on ESPN 38 ‘Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot’

Curtis vs. Vieira



Middleweights

Chris Curtis (28-8) vs. Rodolfo Vieira (8-1)
Odds: Curtis (-135), Vieira (+115)

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Well, 2021 was certainly a breakout year for Chris Curtis. One of the more notable snubs on the 2018 edition of the Contender Series, "The Action Man" dusted himself off and continued a successful journeyman career - including multiple attempted retirements - until he finally got the UFC call last autumn. And Curtis certainly made good on the chance; Phil Hawes looked in excellent form and was picking Curtis apart for the better part of four minutes until Curtis suddenly turned things around and scored the finish. That's emblematic of the Curtis experience; he can be inactive or taken totally out of the fight at times, but his ability to survive and feel out his opponents makes him dangerous until the final horn. Curtis then turned around less than a month later and scored a second-round finish of Brendan Allen to cap off the best year of his career; Curtis managed to pack in six fights during the calendar year and took himself from outside of the UFC to fringe contender. It's taken surprisingly long by Curtis's standards to get his first fight of 2022, and he gets both a dangerous and winnable test here against Rodolfo Vieira. A multi-time BJJ champion, "The Black Belt Hunter" immediately became one of the best submission artists on the UFC roster upon his 2019 debut - add in that Vieira also showed a decent level of striking, and that figured to be enough to move quickly through the middleweight division. All went well enough through two UFC fights, but February of 2021 saw Vieira run into Anthony Hernandez and suffer a loss that will likely linger over him for the rest of his career. Vieira was able to get a grappling match going with Hernandez but was unable to submit him; Vieira's been open about his anxiety going into his fights, but it was still a shock to see him completely fall apart and get exhausted to the point that Hernandez was able to score a second-round submission of his own. To his credit, Vieira rebounded well in a striking-heavy win over Dustin Stoltzfus during which he was able to pace himself, so there's still the potential for him to take this as a learning experience and keep cobbling everything together. This does seem like a rough matchup for Vieira; while Curtis's willingness to hang back at times gives Vieira an opportunity to hunt for a submission if he so chooses, it's traditionally been hard to tap Curtis out, making a redux of the Hernandez loss a fear if Vieira adopts that approach. But at the same time, there are enough holes in Vieira's striking that Curtis should be able to stay patient and take advantage of those openings, which figures to only make Vieira's anxiety throughout the fight worse. Either way, this looks like a fight where Curtis can keep his composure and build things while Vieira slowly unravels against a tough veteran test; the pick is Curtis via third-round stoppage.



Jump To »
Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Magny vs. Rakhmonov
Parisian vs. Baudot
Moises vs. Giagos
Maness vs. Nurmagomedov
Curtis vs. Vieira
The Prelims

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