UFC 168 ‘Weidman vs. Silva 2’ Preview

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Featherweights

Dustin Poirier (14-3, 6-2 UFC) vs. Diego Brandao (18-8, 4-1 UFC)

The Matchup: The opening frame between Dustin Poirier and Erik Koch at UFC 164 was one of 2013’s most entertaining rounds. “The Diamond” dropped Koch twice, survived what appeared to be a tight triangle and then locked in a brabo choke of his own in the waning moments. Add that to the fact that the American Top Team product’s raucous encounter with Chan Sung Jung earned Sherdog.com’s “Fight of the Year” honors for 2012, and it is clear that Poirier is capable of providing high-level action.

He will have a like-minded opponent in Brandao, whose opening-round blitzkriegs made him perhaps the most feared fighter in “The Ultimate Fighter 14” house. That approach has carried over into the Brazilian’s official Octagon appearances, as well -- sometimes to his detriment. Brandao has a reputation for starting fast and fading late, something which could come back to haunt him if he is unable to get a quick finish against Poirier. The Jackson’s MMA product has shown signs of progress, however. After a loss to Darren Elkins, he displayed a far more measured approach in outpointing Joey Gambino in his next outing. More recently, after failing to stop Daniel Pineda at UFC Fight Night 26 despite having his opponent reeling in the opening round, Brandao clinched a decision with four takedowns in the final stanza.

Even with that in mind, the opening five minutes should be a sight to behold. Brandao will have to be aggressive to get inside of Poirier’s nine-inch reach advantage. While Brandao has overcome a similar deficit against the lanky Pablo Garza, Poirier is a more versatile adversary. The Louisianan can land punches and kicks in combination at various levels. Both he and Brandao are not afraid to take chances on the feet and on the mat. It is quite possible that one or the other will leave himself vulnerable while on the offensive. Poirier’s submission defense against Koch, who had him in a couple precarious situations, is encouraging, especially against a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt such as Brandao.

The Pick: If Poirier can survive the initial barrage, he will be the stronger fighter down the stretch. Poirier wins by decision.

Last Fights » The Prelims